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ALB 2024 Model Ensemble

Download ALB 2024 assessment report:

Download ALB 2024 diagnostic model:

Download ALB 2024 ensemble results:

Uncertainty

The ALB 2024 assessment uncertainty was estimated using a Monte Carlo model ensemble approach in which 100 models incorporated uncertainty in average natural mortality, stock-recruitment steepness and estimation error for individual models:

Ensemble results

This repository contains all files necessary to run or browse the ALB 2024 ensemble.

The ensemble models are run from a par file, as described in the corresponding doitall.sh script.

The final par and rep files are consistently named 09.par and plot-09.par.rep to facilitate harvesting results from across the 100 ensemble models.

Estimating uncertainty

See also Section 8, Section 10.6 and Table 9 in the ALB 2024 stock assessment report.

The estimate_uncertainty.R script requires two R packages that are available on GitHub:

install_github("flr/FLCore")
install_github("PacificCommunity/FLR4MFCL")